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Germany's far-right AfD party on track for 'historic' state election win, exit poll shows

"We have made history in this country," said Ulrich Siegmund, the 35-year-old AfD lead candidate in Saxony-Anhalt

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Alternative for Germany (AfD) party AfD's main candidate in the Saxony-Anhalt state election Ulrich Siegmund (C), co-leaders of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party Alice Weidel and Tino Chrupalla celebrate
Alternative for Germany (AfD) party AfD's main candidate in the Saxony-Anhalt state election Ulrich Siegmund (C), co-leaders of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party Alice Weidel and Tino Chrupalla celebrate. Picture: Tobias SCHWARZ / AFP via Getty Images

By Rebecca Henrys

The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) surged into first place in state elections in Saxony-Anhalt on Sunday, but it was unclear whether it would be able to form a government on its own, according to exit polls after voting closed.

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The AfD won 44.5 per cent of the vote, with Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s conservatives on 18.5 per cent, with the centre-left Social Democrats and environmental Greens both clearing the minimum threshold to enter parliament, an exit poll on the ARD broadcaster showed.

"We have made history in this country," said Ulrich Siegmund, the 35-year-old AfD lead candidate in Saxony-Anhalt, who drew thousands to his campaign rallies and who repeatedly cast victory in the state as a first step towards securing national power in federal elections due in 2029.

The result marks a major advance in the AfD's push for national power and a significant setback for Merz's coalition government, although it remained unclear whether the party would be able to form a state government.

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Ulrich Siegmund, top candidate in the Saxony-Anhalt state election for the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) is interviewed after exit poll results were announced on public broadcaster ZDF
Ulrich Siegmund, top candidate in the Saxony-Anhalt state election for the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) is interviewed after exit poll results were announced on public broadcaster ZDF. Picture: Tobias SCHWARZ / AFP via Getty Images

Turnout was around 76 per cent, well above levels typically seen in state elections.

Much could depend on whether the left-wing populist BSW party, a potential AfD coalition partner, could also clear the threshold. Exit polls showed it just above or just below it.

The AfD party's co-leader Alice Weidel hailed an "historic" result which had given the AfD a clear mandate to govern but it was not immediately clear whether it would be able to form a government.

State premier Sven Schulze congratulated the AfD and acknowledged the result showed it was the strongest party.

If the AfD is unable to rule outright, it could trigger a protracted process of coalition building by mainstream parties who are determined to keep a party under investigation for right-wing extremism by Germany's domestic intelligence service out of power.

Supporters of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) cheer at the AfD election evening watch party as initial results show the party with 44% in Saxony-Anhalt state elections
Supporters of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) cheer at the AfD election evening watch party as initial results show the party with 44% in Saxony-Anhalt state elections. Picture: Sean Gallup/Getty Images

The AfD's programme includes plans to push schools and cultural institutions towards more traditional values, curb immigration and overhaul public broadcasting.

While hard right parties have gained ground elsewhere in Europe, Germany's Nazi past has contributed to a reluctance among mainstream parties to cooperate with the AfD, which wants a hard line on migration and warmer ties with Russia.

The AfD has dismissed accusations of extremism as scaremongering and an insult to the party's millions of supporters.

Sunday's result is another blow to the authority of Merz, whose popularity has sagged as his coalition government struggles to revive growth in Europe's largest economy.

In a fracturing political landscape, the AfD is now Germany's most popular party nationally, though other parties have ruled out forging coalitions with the AfD in a policy known as the "firewall".

Nina Warken, a senior conservative, called Sunday's result a turning point for the country.