Reform pushed into third place behind Labour and Tories in new election poll
The UK looks to be heading for a hung parliament, with Labour leading as the largest party with 241 seats, according to the research conducted by YouGov.
Reform UK would win fewer seats than both Labour and the Conservatives if a general election were held today, according to a new poll.
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The UK looks to be heading for a hung parliament, with Labour leading as the largest party with 241 seats, according to the research conducted by YouGov for The Times.
The Conservatives would place second with 130 seats, marking an improvement on their 2024 general election result. It would also push Reform into third place, with just 123 seats.
If these results were to be seen at the next election as the poll suggests, both Robert Jenrick and Suella Braverman would lose their seats to their former party after defecting from the Tories to join Reform.
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Even a coalition would not be an option for Reform and the Tories – even if the parties joined forces, they would not have enough seats to form a majority coalition government.
The poll does, however, indicate that Labour would struggle to govern if it missed out on the 162 predicted seats of the 403 it holds at present, The Times reported.
Burnham’s party would have to call for support from both the Liberal Democrats, forecast to win 71 seats, and the Greens, on nine - or one of the nationalist parties, so that they could secure a majority in Parliament.
These results mark a striking contrast in Reform’s ratings since the last poll conducted by YouGov in September 2025.
At the time, Reform was predicted to win 311 seats – just short of an overall majority – and overtake Labour, with 144 seats, and the Tories with only 45.
The party secured 27 per cent in the polls, but this has since dropped to 22 per cent following the rise of Restore Britain, as well as a string of financial scandals.
The poll does mark good news for the Conservatives, who have increased their share of the vote from 17 to 21 per cent.
Labour are up three points to 24 per cent since YouGov’s September MRP (multilevel regression and post-stratification) poll.