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When could Kimi Antonelli seal the 2026 F1 title?

Italian takes a massive lead in the World Drivers' Championship after Spanish Grand Prix win

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MADRING, SPAIN - SEPTEMBER 13: Kimi Antonelli wins the Spanish Grand Prix during the Spanish Grand Prix at Madring on Sunday September 13, 2026 in Madrid, Spain (Photo by Michael Potts/BSR Agency) Credit: BSR Agency/Alamy Live News
Kimi Antonelli wins the Spanish Grand Prix. Picture: Alamy

By William Mata

Kimi Antonelli has extended his Formula One World Championship lead after his eighth win of the 2026 season at the Spanish Grand Prix, leading Lewis Hamilton to say that nobody can catch the Italian.

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The 20-year-old won in Madrid on Sunday after a duel with Max Verstappen to pull 81 points clear of his Mercedes teammate George Russell in the standings.

Hamilton, who is 101 points back in third, told Sky: "I think there's no stopping him and Mercedes this year, they've done a phenomenal job and they deserve it."

Andrea "Kimi" Antonelli would become the youngest-ever F1 champion if he capitalises on his massive championship lead, but the Italian is not congratulating himself just yet.

He said after the Madring win: "I want to keep pushing race by race, keep delivering and keep enjoying it all the way and try to do my best every race and we will see where we end up at the end of the year."

Here are some of the championship permutations.

Read also: ‘Car-killer’! Rookie Arvid Lindblad crashes as George Russell brands new Madrid F1 circuit the ‘riskiest’ on the calendar

Madrid, Madrid, Spain. 13th Sep, 2026. Andrea Kimi Antonelli (ITA/ Mercedes) celebrating on a photo team with the all the Mercedes members during the Formula 1 Madrid Grand Prix 2026
Antonelli is the first Italian to lead the championship since Giancarlo Fisichella in 2005. Picture: Alamy
MADRING, SPAIN - SEPTEMBER 13: George Russell, Mercedes F1 W17 from United Kingdom during the Spanish Grand Prix at Madring on Sunday September 13, 2026 in Madrid, Spain (Photo by Michael Potts/BSR Agency) Credit: BSR Agency/Alamy Live News
George Russell is in second place for Mercedes. Picture: Alamy

Remaining F1 races in 2026

  1. Azerbaijan - September 26,
  2. Bahrain - October 4 (race being staged in Malaysia),
  3. Singapore - October 11, which has a sprint race,
  4. USA - October 25,
  5. Mexico - November 1,
  6. Brazil - November 8,
  7. Las Vegas - November 21,
  8. Qatar - November 29,
  9. Abu Dhabi - December 6

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates - February 19, 2026: Yas Marina Circuit Formula 1 Grand Prix motorsport race track in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Picture: Alamy

How many points are awarded for F1 races?

For Grand Prix races, points are awarded for positions:

  1. 25,
  2. 18,
  3. 15,
  4. 12,
  5. 10,
  6. 8,
  7. 6,
  8. 4,
  9. 2,
  10. 1

There is an additional one point awarded for having the fastest lap.

Sprint race points are awarded:

  1. 8,
  2. 7,
  3. 6,
  4. 5,
  5. 4,
  6. 3,
  7. 2,
  8. 1

#1 Lando Norris (GBR) McLaren Mastercard F1 Team (GBR) MCL40A/Mercedes, during the 2026 Formula One Spanish Grand Prix, 14th round of the 2026 Formula 1 World Championship, taking place from September 11 to 13, 2026 on the Madring in Madrid (ESP)
Lando Norris won the F1 title in 2026. Picture: Alamy

When could Kimi Antonelli seal the 2026 F1 title?

With nine races to go, several drivers are mathematically still in contention, even if it is not realistic.

In a dream scenario for Antonelli, he could seal the title in the United States Grand Prix in Austin on October 25, when he could leave with a greater lead than the maximum number of points on offer. This would require all the other challengers to either retire or score insufficiently.

If Antonelli finished first in every race, and Russell finished second, the Italian would clinch the title only two rounds later in Brazil on November 8 - meaning that if he wins the next six races in a row, the title is his no matter what.

The situation is less rosy for Russell, who would not be guaranteed the title even if he wins every race left.

So at the time of writing, the F1 2026 crown is Antonelli's to lose.