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Rain weather warning but November warmth to continue

Heavy rain forecast for parts of the country this week, but warm autumn will continue

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Combe, Herefordshire, UK. 21st November, 2016. A car is forced to drive through flood water whilst a van mounts the pavement due to flooding at the hamlet of Combe between Shobdon and Presteigne ( Wales )
November could see heavy rain as temperatures remain mild. Picture: Alamy

By William Mata

Warm weather is set to continue in the UK after a record breaking mild start to November, the Met Office has confirmed, although a rain warning is in place for parts of the country.

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Unseasonable temperatures of up to 16C have been forecast for London this week, far above the 3-10C average for the month, with the country having recently been as warm as parts of Spain.

Temperatures overnight only dropped to 14.C in Teddington, west London, on November 5, making it the warmest Bonfire Night on record - surpassing the 13.9C felt in 1939.

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While heavy rain is on the way at times this week, it is still set to continue to be a far milder than average autumn.

“This exceptional run of overnight warmth follows an October that was already warmer than average, and the latest data highlight the evolving meteorological context behind these new records,” the Met Office said.

Historic November heat to continue

In the first week of November, 33 local weather stations broke their high daily minimum temperature record for the month. Some spikes included:

  • Chivenor, Devon, which had a minimum temperature of 14.8C on November 5 - beating a 29-year-old November record of 14.1C,
  • Valley, Gwynedd, had a minimum temperature of 13.6C from 2022,
  • Culdrose, Cornwall, had a low of 13.8C on Bonfire Night, exceeding the previous 13.6C set in 2010.

As to why there has been so much warmth, the Met Office said: “The mild spell was driven by a combination of factors.

“Warm air from the south, persistent cloud cover, and a lack of cold continental air all contributed to the overnight warmth.

“The North Sea, only slightly cooler than average, played a role in moderating temperatures, especially in eastern areas.”

LBC has approached the Met Office for further comment.

A woman walking barefoot on the beach enjoying a very warm November afternoon, Aberystwyth Ceredigion Wales UK
It's November... Go to the beach? Picture: Alamy

Warmest November on record in the UK

While it is likely to stay warm this month, the thermometer is unlikely to match the warmest ever UK November temperature, which was 21C in 2015. This was also linked to a jet stream event.

Next week’s UK weather

According to the Met Office, the majority of the country will have an overcast outlook for the days ahead, with a mixture of drizzle and spells of patchy sunshine.Maximum temperatures of 15C, 15C, 16C, and 13C will be felt in London and around on Tuesday to Friday, respectively.

There will be yellow weather warnings for rain on Tuesday, with Wales, parts of Scotland, Northern Ireland, and the south west of England affected.