Tories in turmoil: Where next for Rishi Sunak after 'worst local results in 40 years', asks Natasha Clark

3 May 2024, 11:04 | Updated: 5 May 2024, 06:31

Rishi Sunak has endured a difficult set of results
Rishi Sunak has endured a difficult set of results. Picture: Alamy
Natasha Clark

By Natasha Clark

Westminster is waking up after yesterday's local elections - and the Tories are feeling glum indeed.

Listen to this article

Loading audio...

And they have reason to be. With a third of results in so far, they've lost around half of the councillors they're trying to defend and are on track for more than 500 losses.

Polling guru Sir John Curtice says it could be the worst local election result for the Tories in 40 years.

A smashing result for Labour in Blackpool with a whopping 25 per cent swing, and gains across the country in key areas they need to win to get a solid majority.

They claim the results show they're on track for a decisive election win.

Read more: Rally round Rishi: Tory chairman says PM is 'right man for the job' despite 'worst local election results for 40 years'

Read more: Local Elections Live 2024: Jubilant Keir Starmer celebrates Labour by-election victory at rally - as Tories topple

LBC reporters break down the local election story so far

For the Prime Minister, the only glimmers of hope were Tories clinging onto a handful of places including Harlow, which Tory MP Robert Halfon laughably described as the "biggest comeback since Lazarus", and Reform not beating them into third place in Blackpool.

Not much to write home about, but there were a few frantic, relieved texts flying around at 4am off the back of that.

Labour are waking up feeling very pleased about the results, though expect to lose Teeside and the West Midlands.

Even hanging onto two Tory mayoralties - which were campaigning on a very distant Tory ticket to put it mildly - will not be enough to step the flow of Tory woes.

So, where next for the party in the weeks, or months before the general election, and is there anything that can be done to turn their fortunes around?

Watch Again: Nick Ferrari quizzes Tory Party Chairman Richard Holden | 03/05/24

Tory Chairman Richard Holden, the unlucky fella out to spin this morning, admitted there was more to do, but there were few answers on what that looked like.

Tory MP Paul Scully said No10 are in a "bunker mentality" and need to listen more to the public.

Kwasi Kwarteng called on the PM to be clearer about what the Tories stand for in a bid to see off the apparently growing threat from Richard Tice's Reform.

And others are calling for a reshuffle of the PM's top team to inject some energy and life into a tired government.

But, after a policy blitz of a fortnight, with announcements on defence spending, Rwanda and welfare reform, the PM was more on the front foot going into this week than he might have been.

Rishi Sunak
Rishi Sunak. Picture: Alamy

If he hadn't, he'd probably be fighting even harder for his job this coming weekend.

As this stands, he doesn't appear to be in any immediate danger.

The Tory rebels are quiet for now, but are waiting patiently in the wings for the rest of the weekend's events to unfold first in the hope of having something to pounce on.

Only one of two MPs calling for him to go, Andrea Jenkyns, is already indicating that they may not have the numbers for a challenge.

Let's not forget, this is their final chance to oust him ahead of the general election, and if they think there's a hope in hell, I imagine they'll go for it.

Labour set for 'comfortable majority' at next election, polling expert declares

But the talk in the last few weeks has felt more like hot air than a serious, credible threat to his leadership.

What are the things the PM could have done differently in the last few weeks to turn things around? Probably very little.

When you're throwing tax cut after tax cut at the electorate and they still won't vote for you, we're in endgame territory.

Voters are fed up and they want a change.

The blame for that can't lie solely at Rishi Sunak's door - but it will be him who will be pay the price.

More Latest News

See more More Latest News

Climate activists have glued themselves to an airport runway

Chaos as climate activists glue themselves to runway of major airport, causing dozens of flight cancellations

An auto-rickshaw driver drinks water as he takes a break in New Delhi, India

New Delhi on high alert as parts of northern India scorched by extreme heat

The vicar was at St John the Baptist church in Sedlescombe

Former Church of England vicar in his 80s charged with raping boy

Donald Trump

‘Best president for gun owners’ Trump to address National Rifle Association

File photo of gunman in the Bamyan province of Afghanistan, where the shooting took place

Three Spanish tourists shot dead in Afghanistan, with at least one more injured after gunmen open fire

Smoke rises during protests in Noumea, New Caledonia

French authorities report sixth death in New Caledonia violence

Itzhak Gelerenter, Shani Louk and Amit Buskila

Bodies of three hostages killed at October 7 music festival recovered in Gaza

Anne Robinson has confirmed she is in a relationship with Andrew Parker Bowles

Anne Robinson reveals secret relationship with Queen Camilla's ex-husband, Andrew Parker Bowles

A member of the LGBTQ+ community holds up a sign with a message that reads 'Nothing to cure', during a protest in Lima, Peru

Protests in Peru against classification of gender identities as ‘mental illness’

Girls Aloud reunited for the first time in 11 years to pay tribute to Sarah Harding

Tears for Sarah Harding: fans pay tribute as Girls Aloud reunite for first time in 11 years

Cases of cryptosporidiosis have doubled

MP says 'heads will roll' over Devon water parasite crisis, as confirmed cryptosporidium cases double

Exclusive
Vera and Dan

'Why I’m taking my security into my own hands’: Brits buy guard dogs and doorbell cameras as crime concerns soar

Yvette Fielding said that Rolf Harris sexually assaulted her

Yvette Fielding claims Rolf Harris sexually assaulted her while she was hosting Blue Peter as a teenager

Rachel Reeves has said that rent caps could be allowed to be set

Labour 'could allow rent caps', Rachel Reeves says - but shadow chancellor warned that 'landlords would leave in droves'

Justice Department Boeing Explainer

Boeing shareholders approve chief’s compensation as company faces investigations

Shani Louk (left), Itzhak Gelerenter and Amit Buskila.

'No father would want to hear this': Shani Louk's family speak out after Nova festival victim's body discovered in Gaza