Labour 'would lose 200 seats in new election' as poll says Rayner, Cooper and Streeting set to lose seats

28 December 2024, 20:55 | Updated: 28 December 2024, 21:32

Labour would lose nearly 200 seats and five parties would each get more than 30 seats if an election was held today, a new major poll has suggested.
Labour would lose nearly 200 seats and five parties would each get more than 30 seats if an election was held today, a new major poll has suggested. Picture: Alamy

By Chay Quinn

Labour would lose nearly 200 seats and five parties would each get more than 30 seats if an election was held today, a new major poll has suggested.

Listen to this article

Loading audio...

A poll by More In Common which was commissioned by The Sunday Times said that Labour would be reduced to 228 from the 411 that Starmer's party won in July.

The study suggest that Labour would lose 87 seats to the Conservatives, 67 to Reform UK and 26 to the Scottish National Party after its so-called "loveless landslide".

Read More: Starmer demands 'proposals for growth' from regulators as PM seeks to boost UK economy

Read More: Could Elon Musk give Nigel Farage's Reform party a huge cash injection in a bid to reshape British politics?

Labour would, however, still be the largest party in Parliament if the poll is accurate - with a lead of six seats over the Conservatives who would take 222.

Reform UK would garner 72 seats in a massive surge for Nigel Farage's party - to become the UK's third-largest party.

The Liberal Democrat surge seen in July would be broadly sustained as Sir Ed Davey's party would take 58 seats, according to the poll.

The Green Party would lose three seats and get taken down to two MPs.

The implied national vote share of the More In Common poll has Labour on 25 per cent, the Conservatives on 26 per cent, Reform on 21 per cent, the Lib Dems on 14 per cent, the Greens on 8 per cent, the SNP on 2 per cent and other parties on 3 per cent.

Seven cabinet ministers would lose their seat in the Labour drop off, including Health Secretary Wes Streeting, deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner and Home Secretary Yvette Cooper.

Others set to lose their seats according to the poll would be Defence Secretary John Healey, Energy Secretary Ed Miliband, Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson, and Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds.

The model, was created with survey data of more than 11,000 people, and points toward increased fragmentation between parties.

The hypothetical parliament would be an unstable showing as no party would be able to form a majority government.

To hold a majority in the House of Commons, a political party needs to win more than half the seats — at least 326 out of the possible 650.

More Latest News

See more More Latest News

Seven people were taken to hospital following the blaze

Seven people taken to hospital and eight homes evacuated after fire breaks out at block of flats

Home Secretary Yvette Cooper has launched a public inquiry into the Southport murders after three young girls were killed last July.

Inquiry launched into Axel Rudakubana's Southport triple-murder

Headteacher Anthony John Felton pleaded guilty to attempted grievous bodily harm with intent

'Spectacular fall from grace': Headteacher who attacked deputy faces ‘inevitable’ prison sentence

Belgrave Road in Pimlico, London.

'Councils should be able to seize empty homes', Labour-run Westminster says

Ivan Juric

Ivan Juric leaves Southampton after record-breaking Premier League relegation

Exclusive
Sadiq Khan has told LBC he won't take any action after a video emerged of a man taking crack cocaine on the Underground.

Sadiq Khan says 'people shouldn't break the law' after man filmed taking crack cocaine on the Tube

Emergency ambulances waiting outside the Whittington Hospital in Archway, Islington, London, UK

Patients miss vital prescription medicine while waiting in A&E - with long waiting times making things worse

Outrage as rescued surfer sets up fundraiser for new wetsuit - rather than RNLI

Outrage as rescued surfer sets up fundraiser for new wetsuit - rather than RNLI

Police officer driving van that followed two teens before fatal e-bike crash will not face charges

Police officer driving van that followed two teens before fatal e-bike crash will not face charges

Boris Johnson bitten by ostrich at safari park

Watch as Boris Johnson swears loudly as he is attacked by ostrich

'Con Mum' has been charged with fraud

British 'Con Mum', 84, charged with £115k fraud after being accused of massive scam on son in Netflix doc

Exclusive
James Reed

Redundancies 'a clear and present danger', top recruiter warns, as 'jobs tax' kicks in and tariffs spark market chaos

Markets have been plunged into turmoil by Trump's tariffs

'Economic nuclear winter' ahead if US doesn't axe tariffs, Trump-backing billionaire warns as markets plunge again

Hollywood icon Mickey Rourke and Tory MP Michael Fabricant to join all-star Celebrity Big Brother line-up

Hollywood icon Mickey Rourke and Tory MP Michael Fabricant to join all-star Celebrity Big Brother line-up

Keiron Charles

Two teenage boys charged with murder after 17-year-old boy stabbed to death in west London

John's loveable character Charlie kicked off a whirlwind romance with Rovers Return landlady Bet Gilroy (played by Julie Goodyear)

Coronation Street star's sudden death at 72 - as family pay tribute to 'gentleman' actor