Full list of Conservative Cabinet Ministers facing uphill battle to retain seats at General Election

22 May 2024, 18:08 | Updated: 22 May 2024, 18:24

Cabinet Ministers facing uphill battle to hold onto seats
Cabinet Ministers facing uphill battle to hold onto seats. Picture: Alamy

By Christian Oliver

Rishi Sunak's most prominent ministers are facing a tough battle to retain their seats in Parliament after the prime minister called a General Election this afternoon.

Listen to this article

Loading audio...

Some of the most prominent cabinet ministers defending slim majorities include Chancellor Jeremy Hunt and Defence Secretary Grant Shapps.

Tory election strategists have reportedly warned the party's MPs that anyone with a majority of less than 15,000 could face being ousted from their constituency, though some have suggested this claim has been made to manage expectations.

Polling company YouGov in April suggested several Cabinet ministers could be among 200 Conservative losses at the next election, based on the multi-level regression and post-stratification (MRP) method from data collected at the end of March.

Rishi Sunak speaks outside 10 Downing Street
Rishi Sunak speaks outside 10 Downing Street. Picture: Alamy

Jeremy Hunt, Chancellor of the Exchequer: MP for South West Surrey

Mr Hunt, who was first elected in 2005, won a majority of 8,817 at the 2019 general election.

Since 2010, he has served in several key Government roles, including as health secretary and culture secretary.

In the 2024 election, Mr Hunt will be campaigning to represent a new constituency, Godalming and Ash, due to a boundary review.

YouGov suggests the Liberal Democrats are set to win this new seat from him.

Read More: Rishi rolls the dice: Sunak goes for summer poll as he announces General Election will take place on July 4

Read More: Read in full: Rishi Sunak's speech as he announces General Election

Grant Shapps, Defence Secretary: MP for Welwyn Hatfield

The Defence Secretary won a majority of 10,955 in the 2019 election.

He could lose his seat to Labour, from whom he first won it in 2005.

Simon Hart, Government Chief Whip: Conservative MP for Caerfyrddin

Mr Hart currently represents Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire in Wales, which he won with a majority of 7,745 in 2019.

Due to boundary changes, he will stand for the newly created Caerfyrddin seat but is predicted by YouGov to lose to Plaid Cymru.

Johnny Mercer, veterans minister: MP for Plymouth Moor View

Veterans minister Mr Mercer first won his Plymouth constituency in 2015 from Labour, and held it in 2017 and 2019, where he had a majority of 12,897.

Labour could win the seat in the coming election.

Alister Jack, Scotland Secretary: MP for Dumfries and Galloway

The Scotland Secretary has announced he will stand down at the next election but his seat could be in danger from the SNP.

In 2019, Mr Jack won a majority of 1,805 over his SNP opponent.

Penny Mordaunt, Leader of the House of Commons: MP for Portsmouth North

The Commons leader became a well-known political figure during the King's coronation, during which she held aloft the jewelled Sword of Offering in her ceremonial duty as Lord President of the Council.

But her seat is likely to be won by Labour according to YouGov.

In 2019, her majority was 15,780.

Victoria Prentis, Attorney General: MP for Banbury

Ms Prentis has served as Banbury MP since 2015, a seat which has been held by a Conservative MP since the 1920s, and won a majority of 16,813 in 2019.

But boundary changes will see the constituency dramatically change, with the large town of Bicester split off into a new Bicester and Woodstock constituency.

YouGov predicts under the new boundaries that Banbury could be won by the Labour party.

Alex Chalk, Justice Secretary: MP for Cheltenham

The Justice Secretary's majority in 2019 was 981 over his Liberal Democrat opponent.

The Lib Dems, which held the seat prior to 2015, could win the seat back in 2024.

David TC Davies, Wales Secretary: MP for Monmouthshire

The Wales Secretary's Monmouth constituency will be abolished, with Mr Davies standing to represent the new Monmouthshire constituency.

In 2019, he won a majority of 9,982 over his nearest opponent, a Labour candidate.

YouGov suggests the seat could go to Labour.

Gillian Keegan, Education Secretary: MP for Chichester

Ms Keegan won a majority of 21,490 over her nearest Lib Dem opponent at the 2019 general election.

While in YouGov's latest April polling she is not predicted to lose her seat, pollsters have previously warned that she could,

Lucy Frazer, Culture Secretary: MP for South East Cambridgeshire

The Culture Secretary will stand in the new Ely and East Cambridgeshire at the coming election, which is created in part from her old seat.

Similarly to Ms Keegan, YouGov's April polling suggests she could hold the new constituency, though there have previously been warnings the seat could go to the Lib Dems.

She won a majority of 11,490 in 2019.

More Latest News

See more More Latest News

University of London Queen Mary College Queens Building in Mile End Road London

Students left horrified after camera discovered under desk at university

Breaking
Heathrow’s backup power 'was never designed to support whole airport,' the Transport Secretary has said.

Heathrow’s backup power 'was never designed to support whole airport,' says Transport Secretary

Exclusive
Screen grab taken from PA Video of Heathrow Airport CEO Thomas Woldbye issuing a statement following the disruption at the airport throughout the day following a fire at a electric substation nearby. Picture date: Friday March 21, 2025.

Heathrow boss to be hauled in and quizzed by MPs following airport shutdown

Ashton Hall

Influencer rubs banana on face and dunks himself in ice water at 5am as bizarre 18-step morning routine goes viral

The case was found in one sheep on a farm in Yorkshire

World’s first case of bird flu in sheep found on UK farm

ROMANIA-US-CRIME-INTERNET-CELEBRITY-SEXISM

Tate brothers return to Romania to 'prove their innocence' amid rape and trafficking accusations

Anti-Trump protestors take to Greenland streets as Ursula Vance and US delegation's visit branded a 'provocation'

Greenland PM brands Usha Vance and US delegation's visit a 'provocation' as anti-Trump protestors swarm streets

Morrisons has said hundreds of jobs are at risk

Morrisons to shut 52 cafes and 17 stores putting hundreds of jobs at risk - see full list

The Vivienne

The Vivienne's sister shares heartbreaking update on Drag Race star's death

Sir Keir Starmer visits a branch of Halfords today

We're 'looking across the board' for savings, says PM over plans to slash government running costs

Snow White screenings have been empty.

Film fans share pictures of empty Snow White screenings - but 'woke' remake still tops US box office

Ashley Atkin has been banned from teaching

Teacher banned after showing up to school too drunk to walk straight and smelling of alcohol

Tamim Iqbal was rushed to hospital after suffering a heart attack

Cricket star on life support after heart attack during match

The transport secretary has defended the Heathrow boss who 'went back to sleep' during the fire on Friday.

Transport secretary dodges question over embattled Heathrow boss who 'went back to sleep' during fire

James Corden

James Corden rows with neighbours over 'loud drumming' and plans to put up 'eyesore' sauna in back garden

Neighbours were "gobsmacked" over the incident.

'Gobsmacked' neighbours recall two hours of mayhem after 'knife-wielding thugs' gatecrash party in primary school